Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 30

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Nord Energi Arena (Hjorring)

Referee: Kobberrod J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Vendsyssel		SønderjyskE

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.2	1.8
	3.75	3.75	1.77
	3.95	3.95	1.79	Watch
	3.75	4.42	1.8
	3.72	4.42	1.79
	4.8	4	1.53
	3.95	3.94	1.74	Watch
	3.65	4.05	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (2.98)	4.09 ↑ (3.68)	1.75 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vendsyssel
23.8%

Draw
22.8%

SønderjyskE
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

25.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

24.8%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vendsyssel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vendsyssel's form might have worsened.

SønderjyskE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SønderjyskE's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vendsyssel than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vendsyssel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SønderjyskE, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Vendsyssel - SønderjyskE Predictions

Users Predictions: SønderjyskE will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Linner O. (G) 27. Haarup M. 5. Greve M. 34. Jebali O. 3. Rejnhold P. 25. Dahl G. 44. Hartzell T. 7. Jensen L. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 12. Frantsen R. 97. Buch O.	1. Flo N. (G) 31. Buus J. 12. Soulas M. 4. Gretarsson D. 13. Wilkins D. 18. Nikolov I. 6. Vinderslev R. 30. Bjorklund L. 25. Agger M. 14. Andreasen S. 17. Gallegos J.
Substitutes
30. Beshara D. 13. Eriksen M. (G) 32. Kjellingbro K. 14. Lunding K. 24. Pedersen M. 28. Pisaturo D. 31. Rise A. 26. Rosengaard J.	28. Dakir J. (G) 5. Dal Hende M. 8. Klove T. 15. Kristensen M. 34. Larsen S. 22. Oggesen A. 36. Pedersen A. 26. Sommer T. 16. Thorsen J.
Coaches
Zinck B.	Norgaard T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Soulas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Nikolov I. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
59', Bjorklund L. ↓, Klove T. ↑,
68', Gretarsson D. 🟨,
70', Klove T. 🟨,
71', Buus J. ↓, Oggesen A. ↑,
71', Andreasen S. ↓, Pedersen A. ↑,
76', Rejnhold P. ↓, Lunding K. ↑,
87', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Rise A. ↑,
87', Buch O. ↓, Kjellingbro K. ↑,
87', Vinderslev R. ↓, Larsen S. ↑,

Preview

SønderjyskE is Qualified for Superliga

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vendsyssel won 1.

Recent matches Vendsyssel is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SønderjyskE in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vendsyssel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match SønderjyskE is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Vendsyssel won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Vendsyssel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vendsyssel FF
Danish 1 Division
13.05.24	Hobro - Vendsyssel	4:1 ✺
03.05.24	Vendsyssel - Kolding IF	2:4 ✺
28.04.24	Vendsyssel - Hobro	3:1 ✺
18.04.24	SønderjyskE - Vendsyssel	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Kolding IF - Vendsyssel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWTT
- SønderjyskE
Danish 1 Division
11.05.24	SønderjyskE - Aalborg BK	1:0 ✺
02.05.24	SønderjyskE - Fredericia	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	Kolding IF - SønderjyskE	0:3 ✺
18.04.24	SønderjyskE - Vendsyssel	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Fredericia - SønderjyskE	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
18.04.24	SønderjyskE - Vendsyssel	0:0
02.03.24	SønderjyskE - Vendsyssel	0:3
21.07.23	Vendsyssel - SønderjyskE	1:1
06.05.23	Vendsyssel - SønderjyskE	0:1
14.04.23	SønderjyskE - Vendsyssel	1:1
12.03.23	Vendsyssel - SønderjyskE	2:3
19.09.22	SønderjyskE - Vendsyssel	2:2

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