Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 29

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Haderslev Football Stadium (Haderslev)

Referee: Uslu A. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	Veikkaus TV
World	Onefootball


	SønderjyskE		Aalborg BK

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.85
	2.45	3.45	2.75	Watch
	2.54	3.5	2.82
	2.36	3.48	2.95
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.47	3.21	2.93	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.4)	3.38 ↓ (3.57)	2.83 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SønderjyskE
38.8%

Draw
27.9%

Aalborg BK
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SønderjyskE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

SønderjyskE - Aalborg BK Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. SønderjyskE will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Aalborg will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SønderjyskE: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - SønderjyskE (3.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): SønderjyskE will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. SønderjyskE (votes: 4 - 80%). Aalborg (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bundgaard M. (G) 20. Klysner T. 12. Soulas M. 4. Gretarsson D. L. 5. Dal Hende M. 26. Sommer T. 22. Oggesen A. 15. Qamili L. 25. Agger M. 24. Hyseni O. 11. Lyng A.	1. Muller V. (G) 20. Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. 13. Pudel B. 4. Kramer L. 14. Bruus A. 21. Bomholt M. 16. Davidsen K. 8. Widell M. 6. Jimenez M. 11. Jorgensen M. 9. Helenius N.
Substitutes
8. Bjorklund L. 31. Cherif M. 9. Djantou I. 23. Duru G. 1. Flo N. (G) 17. Gallegos J. 2. Olsen M. 28. Pedersen A. 29. Rrahmani A.	24. Arnorsson N. 2. Diakhite O. 40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 23. Hansen-Aaroen I. 26. Hernes T. 17. Jasson A. 27. John K. 5. Nielsen M. 10. Ross O.
Coaches
Norgaard T.	Wichmann K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Agger M. ⚽, Qamili L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Widell M. ⚽, Jorgensen M. (A),
52', Bomholt M. 🟨,
63', Agger M. ↓, Bjorklund L. ↑,
65', Helenius N. ↓, Ross O. ↑,
71', Jimenez M. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
71', Bruus A. ↓, Jasson A. ↑,
81', Hyseni O. ↓, Olsen M. ↑,
81', Lyng A. ↓, Djantou I. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Djantou I. ⚽, Soulas M. (A),
86', Widell M. ↓, Hansen-Aaroen I. ↑,
87', Pudel B. ↓, John K. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Jorgensen M. ⚽, John K. (A),
90+3', Nielsen M. 🟨,
90+3', Qamili L. ↓, Pedersen A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SønderjyskE won 2.

SønderjyskE is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aalborg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

SønderjyskE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in SønderjyskE: Emini S. (Yellow Cards) Hoppe M. (Injury) Rinke J. (Red Card) Vinderslev R. (Inactive) Waever S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SønderjyskE won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, SønderjyskE won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SønderjyskE
Danish Superliga
27.04.25	SønderjyskE - Viborg	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	2:3 ✺
17.04.25	Lyngby BK - SønderjyskE	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	SønderjyskE - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Viborg - SønderjyskE	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWWL
- Aalborg BK
Danish Superliga
28.04.25	Aalborg BK - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	2:3 ✺
16.04.25	Silkeborg IF - Aalborg BK	4:0 ✺
11.04.25	Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Aalborg BK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
20.04.25	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	2:3
16.03.25	SønderjyskE - Aalborg BK	0:3
29.09.24	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	3:0
Danish 1 Division
11.05.24	SønderjyskE - Aalborg BK	1:0
30.03.24	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	1:0
24.02.24	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	2:2
15.09.23	SønderjyskE - Aalborg BK	1:1

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