Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday


	Lillestrøm 2		Verdal

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.28	6.3
	1.26	5.28	6.3
	2.05	4.2	2.6
	1.23	6.25	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (2.07)	5.25 ↑ (4.3)	5.83 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm 2
65.6%

Draw
18.1%

Verdal
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

21.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

20.8%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lillestrøm 2's performance.

Verdal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Verdal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lillestrøm 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verdal than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Verdal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lillestrøm 2 - Verdal Predictions

Users Predictions: Lillestrøm 2 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Furaha E. S. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Skogvold H. ⚽,
15', 2 - 1, Vollan M. ⚽,
35', 3 - 1, Furaha E. S. ⚽,
43', 4 - 1, Furaha E. S. ⚽,
45+5', 5 - 1, Elkaer F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 6 - 1, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ⚽,
90+7', 7 - 1, Neto L. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lillestrøm 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Verdal is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lillestrøm 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lillestrøm 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
01.06.24	Orkla FK - Lillestrøm 2	4:2 ✺
26.05.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Surnadal IL	3:2 ✺
21.05.24	Stabæk 2 - Lillestrøm 2	3:4 ✺
11.05.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Tiller	4:1 ✺
04.05.24	Nardo - Lillestrøm 2	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWL
- Verdal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
08.06.24	Verdal - Surnadal IL	5:0 ✺
02.06.24	Stabæk 2 - Verdal	3:3 ✺
25.05.24	Verdal - Rana	1:4 ✺
16.05.24	Nardo - Verdal	5:1 ✺
11.05.24	Verdal - Melhus	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLL

Lillestrøm 2 - Verdal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide