Match Info

USL League Two

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Virtue Field (Burlington, VT)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vermont Green		Black Rock

	1	X	2
	1.38	3.95	7.5
	1.38	4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	3.98 ↓ (4.15)	7.75 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vermont Green
65.6%

Draw
22.8%

Black Rock
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

21.7%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

20.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vermont Green has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Black Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vermont Green than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Rock than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

Vermont Green has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Black Rock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vermont Green may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vermont Green has had a series of away games.

In this match, Vermont Green is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Vermont Green will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vermont Green won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Vermont Green won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vermont Green FC
USL League Two
02.07.25	Seacoast United Phantoms - Vermont Green	2:3 ✺
24.06.25	AC Connecticut - Vermont Green	0:0 ✺
17.06.25	Vermont Green - Western Mass Pioneers	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Black Rock - Vermont Green	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Boston Bolts - Vermont Green	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWW
- Black Rock FC
USL League Two
30.06.25	Black Rock - Seacoast United Phantoms	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Black Rock - Albany Rush	3:0 ✺
21.06.25	Black Rock - Boston City	5:0 ✺
18.06.25	Boston City - Black Rock	3:3 ✺
13.06.25	Western Mass Pioneers - Black Rock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

USL League Two
10.06.25	Black Rock - Vermont Green	0:2
02.07.23	Vermont Green - Black Rock	3:1
05.06.23	Black Rock - Vermont Green	0:2
06.07.22	Black Rock - Vermont Green	1:0

Vermont Green - Black Rock: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide