Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 25

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Verona U20		Fiorentina U20

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.6	2.25
	2.65	3.8	2.36
	2.62	3.9	2.32	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.3
	2.54	3.64	2.25
	2.57	3.66	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.26)	3.68 ↑ (3.64)	2.3 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona U20
35.5%

Draw
24.8%

Fiorentina U20
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

25.6%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

24.8%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Verona U20's performance.

Fiorentina U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiorentina U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona U20 than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verona U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Verona U20 - Fiorentina U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castagnini M. (G) 78. Barry O. 92. Monticelli L. 22. Feola W. 8. Szimionas L. 21. De Rossi M. 45. Yildiz V. 79. Peci J. 71. De Battisti D. 7. Martini M. 90. Vermesan I.	30. Fei G. (G) 72. Sturli E. 63. Bonanno P. 67. Sadotti E. 17. Perrotti A. 31. Conti G. 64. Deli L. 14. Kone M. 21. Angiolini G. 28. Mazzeo B. 61. Braschi R.
Substitutes
28. Akale R. 66. Bortolotti M. 77. Casagrande T. 80. Fabbri 4. Garofalo L. . Mendolia M. 65. Mussola M. . Pinessi R. 31. Stella K. . Tagne N. 38. Tommasi F. (G)	80. Atzeni D. 7. Bertolini G. 2. Colaciuri G. 1. Dolfi B. (G) 33. Evangelista C. 18. Jallow S. 16. Keita B. 26. Melani F. 62. Montenegro L. 10. Puzzoli G. 19. Trapani N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Verona U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fiorentina U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Verona U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Verona U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Verona U20	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7
18	Fiorentina U20	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Fiorentina U20 - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.86%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona U20
Coppa Italia Primavera
11.02.26	Verona U20 - Atalanta U20	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Primavera 1
08.02.26	Juventus U20 - Verona U20	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Verona U20 - Milan U20	4:1 ✺
26.01.26	Cesena U20 - Verona U20	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Verona U20 - Cagliari U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWTW
- Fiorentina U20
Coppa Italia Primavera
11.02.26	Sassuolo U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:0 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
24.01.26	Fiorentina U20 - Genoa U20	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Parma U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Milan U20 - Fiorentina U20	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Fiorentina U20 - Juventus U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
04.10.25	Fiorentina U20 - Verona U20	1:1
06.04.25	Verona U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:0
26.08.24	Fiorentina U20 - Verona U20	4:1

Verona U20 - Fiorentina U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide