Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 20

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Milan U20		Fiorentina U20

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.4	2.32
	2.63	3.79	2.35	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.3
	2.7	3.58	2.38
	2.71	3.4	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.46)	3.45 ↓ (3.79)	2.34 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan U20
34.5%

Draw
26.4%

Fiorentina U20
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24.5%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

24.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan U20 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Milan U20 - Fiorentina U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fiorentina U20 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Longoni A. (G) 78. Angelicchio M. 79. Cisse M. 33. Colombo F. 23. Lontani S. 8. Mancioppi T. 39. Nolli L. 29. Perera N. 45. Scotti F. 3. Tartaglia E. 69. Vladimirov V.	50. Leonardelli P. (G) 80. Atzeni D. 8. Deli L. 33. Evangelista C. 14. Kone M. 28. Mazzeo B. 62. Montenegro L. 10. Puzzoli G. 5. Sadotti E. 64. Trapani N. 6. Turnone N.
Substitutes
99. Bianchi A. (G) 44. Borsani E. 38. Castiello A. 16. Dotta C. 1. Faccioli P. (G) . Grassini R. . Mazzeo K. 5. Pagliei M. 6. Pandolfi F. 70. Petrone D. 95. Vechiu C.	21. Angiolini G. 24. Batignani F. 4. Bonanno P. 31. Conti G. 29. Diallo M. 30. Fei G. (G) . Giusto G. . Jallow S. . Maiorana S. . Perrotti A. 72. Sturli E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Angelicchio M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Kone M. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Puzzoli G. ⚽,
52', Trapani N. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Vladimirov V. ⚽,
56', Deli L. ↓, Bonanno P. ↑,
56', Atzeni D. ↓, Angiolini G. ↑,
64', Angelicchio M. 🟨,
65', Angelicchio M. ↓, Pandolfi F. ↑,
69', Jallow S. 🟨,
71', Lontani S. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Jallow S. ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, Castiello A. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 3, Conti G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Milan U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Milan U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	AC Milan U20	5	2	1	2	6:6	0	7
18	Fiorentina U20	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan U20
Italian Primavera 1
10.01.26	Torino U20 - Milan U20	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
07.01.26	Milan U20 - Parma U20	0:1 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
03.01.26	Milan U20 - Roma U20	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Napoli U20 - Milan U20	1:1 ✺
16.12.25	Milan U20 - Parma U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWTW
- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
11.01.26	Fiorentina U20 - Juventus U20	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
07.01.26	Fiorentina U20 - Napoli U20	3:1 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
03.01.26	Lazio U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Fiorentina U20 - Cagliari U20	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Cremonese U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
22.11.25	Fiorentina U20 - Milan U20	1:1
19.01.25	Milan U20 - Fiorentina U20	0:1
28.10.24	Fiorentina U20 - Milan U20	1:3

Milan U20 - Fiorentina U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide