Match Info

Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: GeoSalmo vollurinn (Thorlakshofn)


	Ægir		Fylkir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.00	4.80	1.36
	5.40	4.50	1.42	Watch
	6.29	5.58	1.38
	6.31	5.39	1.38	Watch
	6.20	5.50	1.36
	6.59	5.05	1.33	Watch
	6.00	5.00	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.11 ↑ (5.84)	5.12 ↑ (4.45)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ægir
15%

Draw
17.9%

Fylkir
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

20.5%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

19.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ægir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Fylkir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Ægir aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Ægir - Fylkir Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fylkir will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson Omar E. O. (G) 9. Adeyemo J. 50. Gateau B. 8. Gudbjartsson A. (C) 15. Gudjonsson S. O. 30. Gunnarsson B. 80. Joninuson B. 45. Ponjevic D. 24. Skoczylas P. L. 19. Stojanovic N. 22. Willard H.	1. Helgason O. (G) 77. Arnarsson B. 3. Asthorsson A. 14. Gunnarsson T. 7. Hilmarsson M. 4. Jonsson H. 6. Leosson G. 92. Sigfusson K. 5. Stefansson O. (C) 8. Traustason D. 70. Tyrfingsson G.
Substitutes
27. Panic M. 20. Sanabria A. 21. Sverrisson E. 7. Thorbergsson K. A. 12. Thull G. (G) 14. Vidarsson B. 28. Viggosson H.	19. Gislason A. 23. Gudbjornsson A. 18. Gunnarsson N. 13. Ingimundarson T. 20. Oskarsson T. 30. Sigtryggsson K. (G) 9. Wohler E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
4', Gunnarsson B. ↓, Vidarsson B. ↑,
12', 0 - 1, Hilmarsson M. ⚽, Arnarsson B. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Gunnarsson T. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Tyrfingsson G. ⚽,
40', 0 - 4, Asthorsson A. ⚽,
41', Zivanovic N. 🟨,
45', 1 - 4, Adeyemo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 4, Adeyemo J. ⚽,
51', 🟨,
60', Vidarsson B. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
70', Sigfusson K. ↓, Oskarsson T. ↑,
70', Traustason D. ↓, Wohler E. ↑,
71', Hilmarsson M. ↓, Gudbjornsson A. ↑,
77', Stojanovic N. ↓, Thorbergsson K. A. ↑,
89', Tyrfingsson G. ↓, Gislason A. ↑,
89', Leosson G. ↓, Gunnarsson N. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Ægir is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Fylkir has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ægir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fylkir is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ægir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ægir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Ægir
Icelandic Division 1
29.06.26	Afturelding - Ægir	8:1 ✺
26.06.26	Grindavik - Ægir	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Ægir - Throttur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
17.06.26	Vestri - Ægir	3:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
12.06.26	Ægir - Breiðablik	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL
- Fylkir Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
26.06.26	Fylkir - HK Kópavogur	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Grótta - Fylkir	2:5 ✺
17.06.26	Grindavik - Fylkir	0:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.06.26	Fylkir - Grótta	4:2 AET ✺
Icelandic Division 1
06.06.26	Fylkir - Throttur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
24.04.26	Fylkir - Ægir	3:0
Icelandic Cup
26.06.22	Ægir - Fylkir	1:0

Ægir - Fylkir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide