Match Info

ICELAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday


	Vestri		Selfoss

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	3.8
	1.69	4.07	4.54
	1.65	3.7	4
	1.67	4.1	4.3
	1.76	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.94)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	4.08 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vestri
53.9%

Draw
23.6%

Selfoss
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

24.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vestri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vestri's performance.

Selfoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Selfoss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vestri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	8.3%	33.3%

Vestri - Selfoss Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vestri will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Selfoss will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vestri: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Broetto R. (G) 18. Balde I. 3. Baldvinsson E. 22. Gardarsson E. 4. Gbadamosi F. 10. Gil N. 2. Hansen M. 40. Kjeldsen G. 23. Songani S. 7. Tufegdzic V. 11. Waren B.	1. Agustsson S. (G) 22. Antonsson T. 45. Baxter T. 17. Johannsson V. 77. Magnusson H. 10. Martin G. 8. Oskarsson I. 5. Petursson J. 6. Sanchez A. 2. Sigurdsson I. 20. Tyrfingsson G. (C)
Substitutes
17. Einarsson G. 77. Fall S. 16. Helgason I. 6. Ibrahimagic T. 80. Jakobsen M. 1. Steinarsson M. (G) 14. Yaldir D.	14. Birgisson A. 21. Einarsson A. 25. Hardarson S. 12. Kjartansson A. (G) 15. Vokes A.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vestri won 2.

Vestri is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Selfoss is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vestri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vestri is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vestri to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vestri won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vestri won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Vestri
Icelandic Division 1
02.08.23	Grindavik - Vestri	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Vestri - Grótta	3:0 ✺
22.07.23	Vestri - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Akraness - Vestri	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Throttur Reykjavik - Vestri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWWTW
- UMF Selfoss
Icelandic Division 1
02.08.23	Selfoss - Ægir	3:1 ✺
29.07.23	Fjölnir - Selfoss	2:4 ✺
25.07.23	Selfoss - Grindavik	2:0 ✺
21.07.23	Afturelding - Selfoss	9:0 ✺
16.07.23	Selfoss - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
10.09.22	Vestri - Selfoss	2:2
05.07.22	Selfoss - Vestri	0:1
24.07.21	Vestri - Selfoss	1:2
08.05.21	Selfoss - Vestri	0:3
Icelandic League Cup
07.03.21	Selfoss - Vestri	1:0
Icelandic Division 2
27.07.19	Vestri - Selfoss	2:0
04.05.19	Selfoss - Vestri	1:2

Vestri - Selfoss: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide