Match Info

ICELAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 21 July 2023, Friday


	Afturelding		Selfoss

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	5.5	5.25
	1.4	4.75	5.25
	1.41	5.45	5.9
	1.35	5	5.5
	1.38	5.25	6.25	Watch
	1.38	5.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	5.19 ↑ (5)	5.59 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afturelding
66.1%

Draw
17.6%

Selfoss
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

17%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Selfoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afturelding, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Afturelding - Selfoss Predictions

Users Predictions: Afturelding will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galchuk Y. (G) 17. Asgeirsson A. 25. Bjarnason G. 13. Christiansen R. 21. Cogic E. 22. Jensen O. 7. Marteinsson A. 11. Ragnarsson A. 4. Runolfsson B. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Sigmarsson G.	1. Agustsson S. (G) 7. Audunsson A. 21. Einarsson A. (C) 17. Johannsson V. 10. Martin G. 8. Oskarsson I. 5. Petursson J. 2. Sigurdsson I. 20. Tyrfingsson G. 4. Wasilewski O. 19. Zamorano G.
Substitutes
5. Bjarkason O. 26. Gudmundsson H. 19. Hugason S. 12. Johannesson A. (G) 9. Jonasson A. 15. Sigurgeirsson H. 14. Thorhallsson J.	45. Baxter T. 14. Birgisson A. 24. Halldorsson E. 77. Magnusson H. 6. Sanchez A. 12. Sigurdsson T. I. (G) 23. Thordarson T.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Afturelding won 2.

Afturelding in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Selfoss has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Selfoss could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Afturelding is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Afturelding to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Afturelding won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Afturelding won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic Division 1
16.07.23	Thor Akureyri - Afturelding	1:3 ✺
12.07.23	Afturelding - Throttur Reykjavik	1:0 ✺
07.07.23	Ægir - Afturelding	1:4 ✺
29.06.23	Afturelding - Fjölnir	4:3 ✺
23.06.23	Leiknir Reykjavík - Afturelding	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWT
- UMF Selfoss
Icelandic Division 1
16.07.23	Selfoss - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:4 ✺
28.06.23	Grótta - Selfoss	1:0 ✺
23.06.23	Selfoss - Akraness	3:4 ✺
16.06.23	Thor Akureyri - Selfoss	2:1 ✺
08.06.23	Njarðvík - Selfoss	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
05.05.23	Selfoss - Afturelding	1:3
26.07.22	Selfoss - Afturelding	1:4
20.05.22	Afturelding - Selfoss	1:1
24.08.21	Selfoss - Afturelding	3:0
18.06.21	Afturelding - Selfoss	3:3
Icelandic Cup
18.04.19	Afturelding - Selfoss	3:2

Afturelding - Selfoss: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide