Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	VfL Alfter		Fortuna Köln II

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.2	4.5
	1.57	3.8	4
	1.57	3.9	4.2
	1.63	4.13	4.52
	1.58	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	4.07 ↓ (4.2)	4.34 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfL Alfter
57.2%

Draw
22.1%

Fortuna Köln II
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

21.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

14.6%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfL Alfter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Fortuna Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfL Alfter than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VfL Alfter, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln II than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Köln II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

VfL Alfter - Fortuna Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alfter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fortuna Köln II is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fortuna Köln II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alfter is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Alfter
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
19.09.21	Düren - VfL Alfter	5:0 ✺
12.09.21	VfL Alfter - Deutz	0:0 ✺
05.09.21	Vichttal - VfL Alfter	1:4 ✺
29.08.21	Pesch - VfL Alfter	1:1 ✺
22.08.21	VfL Alfter - Glesch-Paffendorf	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWTL
- Fortuna Köln II
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
17.09.21	Fortuna Köln II - Pesch	1:1 ✺
12.09.21	Glesch-Paffendorf - Fortuna Köln II	4:1 ✺
05.09.21	Fortuna Köln II - Breinig	2:0 ✺
29.08.21	Wesseling-Urfeld - Fortuna Köln II	3:1 ✺
22.08.21	Fortuna Köln II - Siegburger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLL

VfL Alfter - Fortuna Köln II

Match Info

Current Win Probability

VfL Alfter - Fortuna Köln II Predictions

Preview

Form

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