Match Info

Date: 12 June 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	VfL Alfter		Siegburger

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	3.2
	1.75	4.2	3.05
	1.82	3.8	3.15
	1.83	4.64	3.3
	1.88	3.6	3.1
	1.81	4.05	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)	4.02 ↓ (4.2)	3.22 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfL Alfter
49.5%

Draw
22.5%

Siegburger
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

21.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

22.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfL Alfter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Siegburger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfL Alfter than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siegburger than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

VfL Alfter - Siegburger Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alfter will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Siegburger will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alfter: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfter won 0.

Alfter has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Siegburger is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Alfter is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Alfter won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfter won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Alfter
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
06.06.22	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - VfL Alfter	1:1 ✺
29.05.22	VfL Alfter - Eilendorf	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Bergisch Gladbach - VfL Alfter	3:1 ✺
08.05.22	Borussia Freialdenhoven - VfL Alfter	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	VfL Alfter - Frechen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- Siegburger SV 04
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
06.06.22	Siegburger - Pesch	3:1 ✺
29.05.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Siegburger	1:2 ✺
22.05.22	Siegburger - Breinig	0:3 ✺
15.05.22	Wesseling-Urfeld - Siegburger	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Vichttal - Siegburger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
05.12.21	Siegburger - VfL Alfter	2:0
20.09.20	VfL Alfter - Siegburger	1:1
14.04.19	VfL Alfter - Siegburger	1:1
07.10.18	Siegburger - VfL Alfter	3:2
15.03.18	Siegburger - VfL Alfter	2:0
03.09.17	VfL Alfter - Siegburger	0:1
05.10.16	Siegburger - VfL Alfter	1:1

VfL Alfter - Siegburger