Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	VfL Alfter		Frechen

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VfL Alfter
33.5%

Draw
22.6%

Frechen
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

21.3%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

21.5%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfL Alfter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Frechen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfL Alfter than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frechen than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 4).

Recent matches Alfter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frechen in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alfter won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfter won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Alfter
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
24.04.22	Hürth - VfL Alfter	1:3 ✺
18.04.22	VfL Alfter - Hennef 05	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Fortuna Köln II - VfL Alfter	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	VfL Alfter - Düren	2:3 ✺
27.03.22	Deutz - VfL Alfter	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTLW
- SpVg Frechen 20
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
24.04.22	Frechen - Pesch	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Frechen	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Frechen - Breinig	6:1 ✺
03.04.22	Wesseling-Urfeld - Frechen	1:3 ✺
27.03.22	Frechen - Siegburger	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWW

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
17.10.21	Frechen - VfL Alfter	0:0
25.10.20	Frechen - VfL Alfter	3:3
28.04.19	Frechen - VfL Alfter	2:0
14.10.18	VfL Alfter - Frechen	2:2

VfL Alfter - Frechen