Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 31

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: OSTALB ARENA (Aalen)


	VfR Aalen		FSV Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.4	2.45
	2.55	3.6	2.45
	2.52	3.55	2.59
	2.52	3.55	2.59
	2.48	3.52	2.54
	2.4	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (3.01)	3.51 ↓ (3.82)	2.53 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfR Aalen
37.3%

Draw
26.3%

FSV Frankfurt
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

24.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

23.7%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfR Aalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VfR Aalen's performance.

FSV Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FSV Frankfurt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VfR Aalen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FSV Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FSV Frankfurt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

VfR Aalen - FSV Frankfurt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Diakite A. I. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Unlucifci O. ⚽,
26', Peters C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 1 - 2, Boutakhrit J. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, Loebus N. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalen won 2.

Aalen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Frankfurt is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aalen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Aalen won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalen won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.04.24	Bahlinger - VfR Aalen	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	VfR Aalen - Schott Mainz	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - VfR Aalen	0:0 ✺
02.04.24	VfR Aalen - Hoffenheim II	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Eintracht Frankfurt II - VfR Aalen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLL
- FSV Frankfurt
German Regionalliga Sudwest
21.04.24	FSV Frankfurt - Stuttgarter Kickers	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	TSV Steinbach Haiger - FSV Frankfurt	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	FSV Frankfurt - Mainz II	2:3 ✺
02.04.24	Hessen Kassel - FSV Frankfurt	0:0 ✺
28.03.24	FSV Frankfurt - TuS Koblenz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
21.10.23	FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen	3:0
27.05.23	FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen	1:0
19.11.22	VfR Aalen - FSV Frankfurt	2:1
26.03.22	FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen	0:0
02.10.21	VfR Aalen - FSV Frankfurt	1:0
01.05.21	FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen	0:2
15.12.20	VfR Aalen - FSV Frankfurt	1:2

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