Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 33

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Ostalb Arena (Aalen)


	VfR Aalen		Rot-Weiß Koblenz

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	3.7
	1.7	3.8	3.9
	1.79	4.01	3.91
	1.76	3.94	3.94
	1.72	3.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)	3.9 ↑ (3.75)	3.87 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfR Aalen
52.8%

Draw
23.5%

Rot-Weiß Koblenz
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

24.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfR Aalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Rot-Weiß Koblenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Koblenz than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

VfR Aalen - Rot Weiß Koblenz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalen won 2.

Aalen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

RW Koblenz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Aalen is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Aalen won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalen won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
16.05.23	Hoffenheim II - VfR Aalen	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	VfR Aalen - Wormatia Worms	1:4 ✺
28.04.23	Eintracht Trier - VfR Aalen	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	VfR Aalen - Bahlinger	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Mainz II - VfR Aalen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTWL
- Rot-Weiß Koblenz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.05.23	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Freiberg	3:2 ✺
06.05.23	FSV Frankfurt - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Hoffenheim II	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	Wormatia Worms - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.11.22	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - VfR Aalen	0:1
22.04.22	VfR Aalen - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	0:0
30.10.21	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - VfR Aalen	2:2
25.04.21	VfR Aalen - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	1:1
09.01.21	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - VfR Aalen	0:1
07.09.19	VfR Aalen - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	0:0

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