The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vibonese 72.6%
Draw 17.9%
Città di SantAgata 9.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.5%
20.1%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
16.3%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vibonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vibonese's performance.
Città di SantAgata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vibonese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di SantAgata than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Città di SantAgata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vibonese - Città di SantAgata Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Alagna F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, Pussetto A. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, Catalano G. ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, (Own goal),
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
Recent matches Vibonese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Città di SantAgata is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Città di SantAgata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Vibonese is absolute favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vibonese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 2.2:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Vibonese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).