Match Info

Date: 16 October 2020, Friday


	Viborg		Fremad Amager

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.25
	2.08	3.55	3.2	Watch
	2	3.65	3.15
	2.07	3.84	3.43
	2	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.01	3.96	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.98)	3.71 ↑ (3.42)	3.28 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viborg
46.2%

Draw
25.3%

Fremad Amager
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

18.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Fremad Amager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viborg than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fremad Amager than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fremad Amager could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.4%	14.7%	5.9%

Viborg - Fremad Amager Predictions

Users Predictions: Viborg will win (27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.82% – 93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to 1st Division (Promotion Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to 1st Division (Promotion Group)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Viborg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Viborg won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Viborg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viborg FF
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.10.20	Hedensted - Viborg	3:1 ET ✺
Danish 1 Division
03.10.20	Esbjerg - Viborg	2:2 ✺
30.09.20	Viborg - Vendsyssel	3:1 ✺
27.09.20	HB Køge - Viborg	0:3 ✺
19.09.20	Viborg - Skive IK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWW
- Fremad Amager
Danish Landspokal Cup
07.10.20	Holbæk - Fremad Amager	0:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
03.10.20	HB Køge - Fremad Amager	0:3 ✺
29.09.20	Fremad Amager - Esbjerg	2:3 ✺
26.09.20	Skive IK - Fremad Amager	0:2 ✺
20.09.20	Fremad Amager - Hvidovre	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
10.07.20	Fremad Amager - Viborg	2:2
18.10.19	Viborg - Fremad Amager	5:0
14.09.19	Fremad Amager - Viborg	1:2
25.05.19	Viborg - Fremad Amager	4:0
17.03.19	Fremad Amager - Viborg	0:1
19.08.18	Viborg - Fremad Amager	2:0
11.04.18	Fremad Amager - Viborg	3:0

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