Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Vicenza Virtus		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.8	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.5
	2.2	3.15	3.45
	2.14	2.95	3.55
	2.21	3.18	3.83
	2.25	3	3.5
	2.19	3.08	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.38)	3.07 ↑ (2.97)	3.62 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
43.2%

Draw
30.8%

Salernitana
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

31.7%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

21.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vicenza Virtus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salernitana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	37.5%	20.8%

Vicenza Virtus - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Vicenza will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Salernitana will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vicenza: 22% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Salernitana has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Vicenza Virtus is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salernitana is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vicenza Virtus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Vicenza Virtus will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
03.10.20	Vicenza Virtus - Pordenone	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie B
26.09.20	Venezia - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.09.20	Vicenza Virtus - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	Vicenza Virtus - Monza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLWT
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
17.10.20	Salernitana - Pisa	4:1 ✺
03.10.20	Chievo - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Salernitana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
26.09.20	Salernitana - Reggina	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Salernitana - Ternana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWTW

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