Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Salernitana		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.55
	2.7	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.78	3.25	2.74
	2.71	3.16	2.74	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.75
	2.75	3.18	2.66	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.48)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	2.67 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
35.2%

Draw
29.5%

Pisa
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

29.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Salernitana - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Pisa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Sepe L. (G) 33. Ferrari G. M. 15. Bronn D. 30. Stojanovic P. 17. Njoh L. 8. Hrustic A. 73. Amatucci L. 70. Tello A. 7. Tongya F. 20. Wlodarczyk S. 31. Verde D.	47. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. 94. Bonfanti G. 28. Abildgaard O. 6. Marin M. 15. Toure I. 32. Moreo S. 11. Tramoni M. 20. Beruatto P. 9. Bonfanti N.
Substitutes
24. Braaf J. 12. Corriere F. (G) 23. Dalmonte N. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 29. Ghiglione P. 44. Jaroszynski P. 25. Maggiore G. 13. Ruggeri F. 77. Sfait A. 9. Simy 10. Torregrossa E. 4. Velthuis T.	3. Angori S. 30. Arena A. 33. Calabresi A. 8. Hojholt M. 74. Jevsenak Z. 70. Leoncini M. 45. Lind A. 22. Loria L. (G) 7. Mlakar J. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 17. Rus A.
Coaches
Martusciello G.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Bonfanti N. ⚽, Bonfanti G. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Tongya F. ⚽, Wlodarczyk S. (A),
33', Bonfanti G. 🟨,
43', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
45+3', Verde D. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 2, Bonfanti N. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bonfanti G. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
46', Wlodarczyk S. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
46', Hrustic A. ↓, Braaf J. ↑,
47', Abildgaard O. 🟨,
50', Abildgaard O. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
54', Tello A. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
62', 1 - 3, Tramoni M. ⚽, Piccinini G. (A),
63', Beruatto P. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
63', Toure I. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
65', Verde D. ↓, Simy ↑,
77', Tongya F. ↓, Dalmonte N. ↑,
77', Marin M. ↓, Rus A. ↑,
90+3', Dalmonte N. 🟨,
90+5', Semper A. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 3, Simy (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 2.

Recent matches Salernitana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pisa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salernitana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
01.09.24	Mantova - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
27.08.24	Salernitana - Sampdoria	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Salernitana	3:2 ✺
17.08.24	Salernitana - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.24	Salernitana - Spezia	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
31.08.24	Pisa - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
27.08.24	Cittadella - Pisa	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Pisa - Palermo	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Pisa - Spezia	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.24	Frosinone - Pisa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.02.21	Pisa - Salernitana	2:2
17.10.20	Salernitana - Pisa	4:1
20.06.20	Salernitana - Pisa	1:1
29.10.19	Pisa - Salernitana	2:1
01.04.17	Pisa - Salernitana	0:1
29.10.16	Salernitana - Pisa	0:0
Coppa Italia
14.08.16	Salernitana - Pisa	1:2 penalties

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