The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Victor San Marino 56.1%
Draw 25%
Mezzolara 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
21.6%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
14.2%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victor San Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Victor San Marino's form might have worsened.
Mezzolara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mezzolara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victor San Marino than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victor San Marino that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Victor San Marino is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Mezzolara is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Victor San Marino is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Victor San Marino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.