Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Mezzolara		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.3	3.99
	2	3.1	3.2
	1.67	3.41	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.27)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	3.92 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mezzolara
49.4%

Draw
27.6%

Pistoiese
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

25.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mezzolara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mezzolara's performance.

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pistoiese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mezzolara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pistoiese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Mezzolara is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pistoiese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mezzolara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.02.24	Cavenago Fanfulla - Mezzolara	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Mezzolara - Borgo San Donnino	2:2 ✺
21.01.24	Prato - Mezzolara	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Mezzolara - Certaldo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Imolese - Mezzolara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTLL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.02.24	Pistoiese - Sammaurese	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	AC Carpi - Pistoiese	3:2 ✺
21.01.24	Pistoiese - Aglianese	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Victor San Marino - Pistoiese	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Pistoiese - Ravenna	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
15.10.23	Pistoiese - Mezzolara	0:0
15.01.23	Pistoiese - Mezzolara	2:1
11.09.22	Mezzolara - Pistoiese	0:0

Mezzolara - Pistoiese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide