Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 19

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Victor San Marino		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.51	3.63	5.64
	1.52	3.63	5.64
	1.44	3.6	5.8
	1.53	3.74	5.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.15)	3.62 ↑ (3)	5.63 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victor San Marino
59.3%

Draw
24.8%

Pistoiese
15.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victor San Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victor San Marino's performance.

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pistoiese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victor San Marino than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victor San Marino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pistoiese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Victor San Marino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pistoiese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Victor San Marino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Victor San Marino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victor San Marino
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.01.24	Cavenago Fanfulla - Victor San Marino	0:1 ✺
20.12.23	Borgo San Donnino - Victor San Marino	0:4 ✺
17.12.23	Victor San Marino - Prato	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Imolese - Victor San Marino	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Victor San Marino - Forlì	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.01.24	Pistoiese - Ravenna	0:3 ✺
20.12.23	Pistoiese - Lentigione	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Corticella - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Pistoiese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
17.09.23	Pistoiese - Victor San Marino	2:1

Victor San Marino - Pistoiese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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