Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Lentigione

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.92	3.25
	2.07	3.39	3.18	Watch
	2.22	2.92	3.24
	2.04	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	3.32 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
42.9%

Draw
29.6%

Lentigione
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lentigione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+1%)

Pistoiese - Lentigione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Lentigione may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pistoiese could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pistoiese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pistoiese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.10.25	Progresso - Pistoiese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Pistoiese - Vado	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Tuttocuoio - Pistoiese	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Tau Altopascio - Pistoiese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTWW
- Lentigione Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.10.25	Lentigione - Pro Palazzolo	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Imolese - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Lentigione - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lentigione - Rovato Vertovese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
02.02.25	Pistoiese - Lentigione	1:1
06.10.24	Lentigione - Pistoiese	0:0
20.12.23	Pistoiese - Lentigione	0:2
02.04.23	Pistoiese - Lentigione	1:0
20.11.22	Lentigione - Pistoiese	0:1

Pistoiese - Lentigione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide