Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Victor San Marino		Sammaurese

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.12	3.09	3.17
	2.04	3.08	3.17
	2	3.1	3.1
	2.05	3.26	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.69)	3.15 ↓ (3.6)	3.16 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victor San Marino
43.4%

Draw
28.3%

Sammaurese
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

24.1%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victor San Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Victor San Marino's form might have worsened.

Sammaurese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sammaurese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victor San Marino than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Victor San Marino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sammaurese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Victor San Marino in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sammaurese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Victor San Marino is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Victor San Marino to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victor San Marino
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.11.23	Progresso - Victor San Marino	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Victor San Marino - Aglianese	2:2 ✺
01.11.23	Mezzolara - Victor San Marino	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Victor San Marino - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
25.10.23	Corticella - Victor San Marino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WTWWW
- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.11.23	Sammaurese - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Lentigione - Sammaurese	3:2 ✺
01.11.23	Sammaurese - Corticella	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Cavenago Fanfulla - Sammaurese	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Sammaurese - SantAngelo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLT

Victor San Marino - Sammaurese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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