Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Progresso		Victor San Marino

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.48	3.07	2.02
	3.48	3.07	2.03
	3.6	3.3	1.83
	3.48	3.13	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	3.13 (3.13)	1.99 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
26.1%

Draw
28.7%

Victor San Marino
45.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

29%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

28.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Victor San Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victor San Marino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Progresso is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Victor San Marino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Progresso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Victor San Marino will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
01.11.23	Progresso - Lentigione	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Pistoiese - Progresso	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Progresso - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Borgo San Donnino - Progresso	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Certaldo - Progresso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL
- Victor San Marino
Italian Serie D - Group D
05.11.23	Victor San Marino - Aglianese	2:2 ✺
01.11.23	Mezzolara - Victor San Marino	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Victor San Marino - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
25.10.23	Corticella - Victor San Marino	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	AC Carpi - Victor San Marino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWWWL

Progresso - Victor San Marino

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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