Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 9

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday


	Victoria Hamburg		Türkiye Wilhelmsburg

	1	X	2
	1.5	5	4.33
	1.48	5.17	4.95
	1.48	5	4.75
	1.5	5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.93)	5.04 ↑ (4)	4.59 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Hamburg
61.7%

Draw
18.2%

Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

22.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

22.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria Hamburg's performance.

Türkiye Wilhelmsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Türkiye Wilhelmsburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Hamburg than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria Hamburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Türkiye Wilhelmsburg than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Türkiye Wilhelmsburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Victoria Hamburg - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Victoria Hamburg won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Victoria Hamburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Victoria Hamburg is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Victoria Hamburg won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 33-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Victoria Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Hamburg
German Oberliga Hamburg
12.09.23	Alsterbruder - Victoria Hamburg	7:2 ✺
08.09.23	Victoria Hamburg - Sasel	3:2 ✺
03.09.23	Union Tornesch - Victoria Hamburg	0:4 ✺
25.08.23	Victoria Hamburg - Wandsbeker Concordia	4:3 ✺
20.08.23	TSV Buchholz 08 - Victoria Hamburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWL
- FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
German Oberliga Hamburg
08.09.23	ETSV Hamburg - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	3:0 ✺
02.09.23	Türkiye Wilhelmsburg - Niendorfer	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Dassendorf - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Türkiye Wilhelmsburg - TuRa Harksheide	3:3 ✺
13.08.23	Rugenbergen - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
23.04.23	Türkiye Wilhelmsburg - Victoria Hamburg	0:6
28.10.22	Victoria Hamburg - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	3:5
Club Friendly
30.01.20	Victoria Hamburg - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	8:3
German Oberliga Hamburg
24.11.17	Victoria Hamburg - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	2:0
30.07.17	Türkiye Wilhelmsburg - Victoria Hamburg	1:3
09.05.17	Victoria Hamburg - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	3:1
06.09.16	Türkiye Wilhelmsburg - Victoria Hamburg	0:3

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