Match Info

Primera C - Round 20

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Saturnino Moure (Avellaneda)


	Victoriano Arenas		Sportivo Barracas

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.65
	2.75	2.75	2.55
	2.96	2.72	2.42
	3.66	2.75	2.22	Watch
	2.58	2.81	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.48)	2.79 ↓ (2.97)	2.51 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoriano Arenas
31.5%

Draw
32.5%

Sportivo Barracas
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoriano Arenas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sportivo Barracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Victoriano Arenas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Victoriano Arenas - Sportivo Barracas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Tarrio M. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Victoriano Arenas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sportivo Barracas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoriano Arenas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Victoriano Arenas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
27.07.25	Central Ballester - Victoriano Arenas	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Deportivo Paraguayo - Victoriano Arenas	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Victoriano Arenas - Cañuelas	0:0 ✺
08.07.25	Atlas General Rodríguez - Victoriano Arenas	3:2 ✺
28.06.25	Victoriano Arenas - Club Luján	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTLL
- Sportivo Barracas
Argentinian Primera C
28.07.25	Sportivo Barracas - Cañuelas	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	Atlas General Rodríguez - Sportivo Barracas	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Sportivo Barracas - Club Luján	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Argentino de Rosario - Sportivo Barracas	1:0 ✺
30.06.25	Sportivo Barracas - Deportivo Camioneros	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
22.04.25	Sportivo Barracas - Victoriano Arenas	2:0
21.10.24	Victoriano Arenas - Sportivo Barracas	0:1
18.05.24	Sportivo Barracas - Victoriano Arenas	1:1
15.04.19	Sportivo Barracas - Victoriano Arenas	2:1
04.11.18	Victoriano Arenas - Sportivo Barracas	1:0

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