The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Barracas 35.1%
Draw 33.2%
Club Luján 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
31.7%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
33.9%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Barracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Club Luján has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
12.5%
62.5%
Sportivo Barracas - Club Luján Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sportivo Barracas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Club Luján will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Club Luján: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 0, Bellido T. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Barracas won 2.
Recent performances by Sportivo Barracas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Club Luján is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Barracas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Barracas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Sportivo Barracas - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.