Match Info

NB II. - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Videoton		Ajka

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.50	4.40
	1.71	3.50	3.85
	1.56	3.83	5.25
	1.64	3.91	4.9	Watch
	1.54	3.75	5.15
	1.62	3.71	5.15
	1.65	3.70	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.82)	3.7 ↑ (3.35)	4.77 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Videoton
56.2%

Draw
24.7%

Ajka
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

27.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Videoton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Videoton's performance.

Ajka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Videoton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Videoton - Ajka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vas B. (G) 27. Bedi B. 11. Derekas Z. 29. Kojnok Z. 78. Kollo K. 90. Kovacs K. 70. Kurdics L. 22. Murka B. 14. Nagy D. 9. Nemeth D. 4. Spandler C.	25. Simon B. (G) 10. Artner D. 29. Bacsa B. S. 37. Bocskay B. 71. Csoka Dom. 15. Csorba N. 24. Decsy A. 30. Doncsecz L. 6. Nemeth E. 7. Szabo B. 34. Tar Z.
Substitutes
42. Balazs T. 28. Bartusz D. 73. Bertok D. 7. Cipf D. 18. Ekbauer T. 51. Harsfalvi A. (G) 3. Hesz O. 5. Kelemen D. 74. Kovacs D. 77. Kovacs E. 21. Nagy Z. 10. Zsoter D.	19. Csizmadia Z. 49. Garamszegi Geczy A. 44. Gyurjan M. (G) 77. Kelemen M. 5. Kenderes Z. 11. Kopacsi A. 8. Mohos B. 80. Papp M. 95. Pinter F. 17. Szarka J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Tar Z. 🟨,
24', Derekas Z. 🟨,
28', Nemeth D. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Szabo B. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Derekas Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kurdics L. ↓, Nagy Z. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Szabo B. ⚽,
58', Murka B. ↓, Ekbauer T. ↑,
58', Kovacs K. ↓, Cipf D. ↑,
75', Nagy D. ↓, Kovacs D. ↑,
78', Decsy A. ↓, Szarka J. ↑,
78', Artner D. ↓, Csizmadia Z. ↑,
87', Kojnok Z. ↓, Bartusz D. ↑,
90+2', Doncsecz L. ↓, Pinter F. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 7th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Videoton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Videoton for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Videoton has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Videoton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ajka	11	5	3	3	16:14	2	18
10	Videoton	11	4	0	7	15:14	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Videoton FC
Hungarian NB II
18.10.26	Soroksár - Videoton	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Videoton - Szentlőrinc	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nagykanizsa - Videoton	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Diósgyőri - Videoton	4:1 ✺
Hungarian NB II
07.09.26	Videoton - Diósgyőri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
17.10.26	Ajka - BVSC-Zugló	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Ajka	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Tiszakécske - Ajka	4:3 ✺
19.09.26	Ajka - Csákvári	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Ajka - BVSC-Zugló	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
07.02.26	Videoton - Ajka	1:0
03.08.25	Ajka - Videoton	1:1
Club Friendly
05.07.24	Videoton - Ajka	3:2

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