Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Play Out - Final

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Vigasio		Obermais

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.25	4
	1.75	3.3	4.15
	1.7	3.37	4.11
	1.76	3.49	4.19	Watch
	1.83	3.1	3.8
	1.76	3.34	4.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.97)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	4.09 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigasio
50.9%

Draw
27.1%

Obermais
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

29.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigasio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Obermais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigasio than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obermais than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Vigasio - Obermais Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Moras M. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 1, Brusco M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', (Penalty Awarded),
82', 2 - 1, Moras M. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Turini S. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
114', 2 - 3, Loncini A. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vigasio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vigasio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Vigasio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	FC Obermais	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Vigasio
Italian Serie D - Group C
26.04.26	Luparense - Vigasio	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Vigasio - Brian Lignano	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Union Clodiense - Vigasio	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Vigasio - Campodarsego	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Calvi Noale - Vigasio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTWWL
- FC Obermais
Italian Serie D - Group C
19.04.26	Obermais - Altavilla	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Cjarlins Muzane - Obermais	2:2 ✺
02.04.26	Obermais - Luparense	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Treviso - Obermais	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Obermais - Union Clodiense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
18.01.26	Obermais - Vigasio	2:0
21.09.25	Vigasio - Obermais	2:1

Vigasio - Obermais: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide