Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Vigor Lamezia		Vibonese

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.15
	1.74	3.45	4.13
	1.75	3.52	4.24	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.2
	1.73	3.4	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	3.37 ↓ (3.44)	4.22 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Lamezia
51.8%

Draw
26.8%

Vibonese
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

22.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Lamezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Vibonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vigor Lamezia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vibonese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vigor Lamezia - Vibonese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
62', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

In recent matches, Vigor Lamezia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vibonese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Vibonese has had a series of home games.

In this match, Vigor Lamezia is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vigor Lamezia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vibonese	6	4	1	1	15:5	10	13
12	Vigor Lamezia	6	1	2	3	7:13	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vigor Lamezia
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.03.26	Ragusa - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vigor Lamezia - Castrumfavara	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Gelbison Cilento - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Vigor Lamezia - Reggina	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Nissa - Vigor Lamezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLTWL
- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.03.26	Vibonese - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ragusa - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Vibonese - Savoia	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vibonese - Gelbison Cilento	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	Vibonese - Nissa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Vibonese - Vigor Lamezia	3:1
20.12.15	Vibonese - Vigor Lamezia	1:1

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