Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Razza (Vibo Valentia)


	Vibonese		Savoia

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.35	1.78
	3.91	3.42	1.83	Watch
	4.13	3.34	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.9)	3.37 ↑ (3.33)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vibonese
22.8%

Draw
26.9%

Savoia
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

27.3%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vibonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Vibonese - Savoia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Guida M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+11', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Vibonese is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Savoia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vibonese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Savoia is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vibonese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vibonese	6	4	1	1	15:5	10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.02.26	Vibonese - Gelbison Cilento	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	Vibonese - Nissa	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Reggina - Vibonese	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Vibonese - Enna	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Paternò - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.02.26	Savoia - Nissa	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Castrumfavara - Savoia	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Savoia - Sambiase	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Reggina - Savoia	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Savoia - Enna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
26.10.25	Savoia - Vibonese	1:0

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