Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Vigor Senigallia		Fano

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4.1
	1.81	3.16	4.18
	1.82	3.16	4.18
	1.65	3.5	4.2
	1.79	3.34	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	4.18 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Senigallia
50.9%

Draw
27.5%

Fano
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

27.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Vigor Senigallia - Fano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Pesaresi A. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Pesaresi D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Pierfederici G. ⚽,
64', 3 - 1, ⚽,
86', 4 - 1, ⚽,
88', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Vigor Senigallia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vigor Senigallia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vigor Senigallia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
17.03.24	Roma City - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Vigor Senigallia - Tivoli Calcio	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Real Monterotondo - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Vigor Senigallia - Campobasso	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLWL
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie D - Group F
17.03.24	Fano - Campobasso	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	L Aquila - Fano	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Matese - Fano	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Fano - Chieti	5:1 ✺
28.02.24	Fano - Notaresco	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
12.11.23	Fano - Vigor Senigallia	2:2
21.05.23	Vigor Senigallia - Fano	0:1
02.04.23	Fano - Vigor Senigallia	0:1
20.11.22	Vigor Senigallia - Fano	3:0

Vigor Senigallia - Fano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide