The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vigor Senigallia 29.5%
Draw 29.7%
Atletico Ascoli 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
28.6%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
28.8%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vigor Senigallia's form might have worsened.
Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vigor Senigallia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Forgione C. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Galluzzi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Minicucci M. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Urso N. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vigor Senigallia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Vigor Senigallia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
Watch
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