Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday

Location: Viking Stadion (Stavanger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Viking 2		Eik-Tønsberg

	1	X	2
	10	7.5	1.16
	5.07	4.33	1.47
	5.22	4.46	1.54	Watch
	4.8	4.4	1.44
	2.95	4.4	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↑ (1.93)	5.02 ↑ (3.7)	1.5 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viking 2
17.1%

Draw
19.1%

Eik-Tønsberg
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

24.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viking 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viking 2's form might have worsened.

Eik-Tønsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eik-Tønsberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viking 2 than the current prediction. (+32%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viking 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eik-Tønsberg than the current prediction. (-37.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eik-Tønsberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.8%	8.7%	56.5%

Viking 2 - Eik Tønsberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Viking 2 will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Eik-Tønsberg will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eik-Tønsberg: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergsvik A. (G) 24. Auklend V. 4. Botnen F. 14. Haland T. 20. Hansen J. 9. Larsen F. 3. Lillehammer F. (C) 10. Moi T. 6. Saetherbo K. 7. Tveiten A. 8. Visted O.	1. Jorgensen M. (G) 16. Andersen B. 12. Hansen C. 27. Mathisen S. 15. Midtgarden E. 11. Nygaard A. (C) 8. Nygaard T. 3. Roberg V. S. 2. Rygel M. 19. Sannes J. 24. Takvam L.
Substitutes
27. Dahle S. G. 19. Fiksdal B. 13. Helgeland L. H. (G) 11. Lie Strand A. 26. Molund V. 33. Thulin F. 5. Tveit A. 21. Tveiten S.	23. Bergsvag L. (G) 5. Blikas S. 6. Danielsen H. 20. dos Santos Jonker D. 14. Gojani E. 7. Muhle E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Andersen B. 🟨,
16', Takvam L. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Takvam L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Andersen B. ↓, dos Santos Jonker D. ↑,
54', Nygaard T. ↓, Blikas S. ↑,
54', Mathisen S. ↓, Muhle E. ↑,
70', Larsen F. ↓, Lie Strand A. ↑,
71', dos Santos Jonker D. 🟨,
75', 0 - 2, Sannes J. ⚽,
83', Haland T. ↓, Tveit A. ↑,
85', Hansen C. ↓, Danielsen H. ↑,
87', Tveiten A. ↓, Molund V. ↑,
90', Danielsen H. 🟥,
90', 1 - 2, Moi T. (Pen),
90+5', Botnen F. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5).

The competitors look crappy now.

Viking 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eik-Tønsberg is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Viking 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viking 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
30.09.24	Viking 2 - Arendal	0:1 ✺
23.09.24	Lysekloster - Viking 2	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Viking 2 - Flekkerøy	5:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ørn-Horten - Viking 2	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Kvik Halden - Viking 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- Eik-Tønsberg
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
29.09.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Lysekloster	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Flekkerøy - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Brattvåg - Eik-Tønsberg	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Brann 2	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Jerv - Eik-Tønsberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.04.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Viking 2	4:3

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