Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Viking Stadion (Stavanger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Viking 2		Arendal

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	4.4
	1.53	4.5	4.75
	1.59	4.5	4.67	Watch
	1.5	4.4	4.6
	1.51	4.45	4.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.86)	4.41 ↑ (3.88)	4.63 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viking 2
59.6%

Draw
20.7%

Arendal
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

23.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

17.5%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viking 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viking 2's performance.

Arendal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arendal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking 2 than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viking 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arendal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Viking 2 - Arendal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergsvik A. (G) 24. Auklend V. 4. Botnen F. 27. Cappis C. 12. Finndell H. 21. Fuglestad N. 20. Hansen J. 2. Haugen H. J. 3. Lillehammer F. (C) 6. Saetherbo K. 7. Tveiten A.	1. Smedplass A. (G) 4. Bergan V. 14. Christiansen R. 16. Helgesen E. 2. Hultqvist D. (C) 19. Ibishi D. 22. Lotsberg T. 21. Lovseth R. 9. Myrbakk J. 17. Nersveen P. 18. Victorio M.
Substitutes
19. Fiksdal B. 14. Haland T. 13. Helgeland L. H. (G) 9. Larsen F. 10. Moi T. 26. Molund V. 33. Thulin F. 35. Tveit A. 8. Visted O.	20. Basic A. 6. Eriksen M. 7. Johansen J. 8. Koko J. 30. Muller E. (G) 23. Ness T. 11. Svela S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Christiansen R. ⚽,
38', Cappis C. 🟨,
45', Finndell H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Finndell H. ↓, Visted O. ↑,
62', Helgesen E. ↓, Eriksen M. ↑,
69', Christiansen R. ↓, Koko J. ↑,
75', Tveiten A. ↓, Moi T. ↑,
83', Myrbakk J. ↓, Ness T. ↑,
83', Lotsberg T. ↓, Svela S. ↑,
83', Smedplass A. 🟨,
85', Nersveen P. 🟨,
85', Cappis C. ↓, Haland T. ↑,
90', Haugen H. J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 10).

Recent matches Viking 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arendal is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arendal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Viking 2 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Viking 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viking 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
23.09.24	Lysekloster - Viking 2	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Viking 2 - Flekkerøy	5:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ørn-Horten - Viking 2	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Kvik Halden - Viking 2	4:1 ✺
26.08.24	Viking 2 - Sotra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.09.24	Arendal - Brattvåg	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Jerv - Arendal	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Arendal - Sotra	0:1 ✺
02.09.24	Brann 2 - Arendal	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Arendal - Hødd	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.06.24	Arendal - Viking 2	2:1

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