Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 4

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Lyse Arena (Stavanger)

Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
World	Onefootball


	Viking Stavanger		Tromsø

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.73	4	4
	1.78	4	4.33	Watch
	1.77	4.23	4.5
	1.76	4.05	4.24	Watch
	1.75	4	4
	1.76	4.08	4.28	Watch
	1.78	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.73)	4.03 ↓ (4.16)	4.25 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viking Stavanger
54%

Draw
23.6%

Tromsø
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

22.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

22.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viking Stavanger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Viking Stavanger - Tromsø Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tromsø (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Viking (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Viking Stavanger will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Viking Stavanger will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Viking (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tromsø (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kinn T. (G) 5. Heggheim H. 21. Baertelsen A. 25. Falchener H. 4. Roseth M. 33. Hansen J. 8. Bell J. 7. Svendsen S. 10. Tripic Z. 20. Christiansen P. 17. Austbo E.	1. Haugaard J. (G) 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Guddal T. 5. Jenssen A. 2. Cornic L. 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 11. Jenssen R. 8. Antonsen K. 23. Norheim R. 15. Erlien V. 10. Romsaas J.
Substitutes
19. Askildsen K. 24. Auklend V. 27. Cappis C. 31. Fuglestad N. 2. Haugen H. J. 26. Kvia-Egeskog S. 28. Mikaelsson H. 1. Ostbo A. (G) 3. Vevatne V.	18. Braut D. 22. Christensen F. 20. Edvardsson D. 25. Kinteh A. S. 24. Kristiansen R. 27. Lauvli O. (G) 7. Paintsil Y. 14. Prestmo S. 3. Robertsen J.
Coaches
Aarsheim B.	Vik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Erlien V. ⚽, Romsaas J. (A),
19', Guddal T. 🟨,
32', Hansen J. 🟨,
43', Bell J. 🟨,
45+1', Haugaard J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 3)
47', 0 - 2, Erlien V. ⚽, Jenssen R. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Heggheim H. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
55', 1 - 3, Hjerto-Dahl J. ⚽, Cornic L. (A),
57', 2 - 3, Austbo E. ⚽, Heggheim H. (A),
67', Norheim R. ↓, Paintsil Y. ↑,
67', Romsaas J. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
69', Svendsen S. ↓, Kvia-Egeskog S. ↑,
72', Antonsen K. ↓, Edvardsson D. ↑,
77', Hansen J. ↓, Mikaelsson H. ↑,
77', Austbo E. ↓, Cappis C. ↑,
80', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Prestmo S. ↑,
81', Jenssen A. ↓, Kristiansen R. ↑,
82', Paintsil Y. 🟨,
86', Cornic L. 🟨,
88', Heggheim H. ↓, Haugen H. J. ↑,
88', Baertelsen A. ↓, Vevatne V. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 3, Haugen H. J. ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 3, Roseth M. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
90+8', 4 - 4, Erlien V. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viking won 2.

Viking is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tromsø is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tromsø could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Viking is a favorite.

There will not play in Viking: D'Agostino N. (Inactive) Klaesson K. (Leg Injury) Moi T. (Foot Injury) Saetherbo K. (Knock) Stensness G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Viking: Urbancic J. (Inactive) de Lanlay Y. (Inactive)

Our prediction for today's Viking to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Viking won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32:30 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Viking won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viking Stavanger FK
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Flekkerøy - Viking Stavanger	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.25	Hamarkameratene - Viking Stavanger	2:5 ✺
10.04.25	Viking Stavanger - Kristiansund	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Viking Stavanger - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Tromsø IL
Norwegian NM Cup
23.04.25	Skjervøy - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.04.25	Tromsø - Kristiansund	2:3 ✺
06.04.25	Brann - Tromsø	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Tromsø - Haugesund	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Tromsø - Hamarkameratene	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
01.09.24	Tromsø - Viking Stavanger	2:2
05.05.24	Viking Stavanger - Tromsø	2:1
Club Friendly
24.02.24	Viking Stavanger - Tromsø	1:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.10.23	Viking Stavanger - Tromsø	3:4
23.04.23	Tromsø - Viking Stavanger	1:1
18.09.22	Viking Stavanger - Tromsø	2:2
22.05.22	Tromsø - Viking Stavanger	1:1

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