Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Ellefsen J. H. (Fai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 5


	Vikingur Reykjavik		Egnatia Rrogozhinë

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.33
	1.68	3.75	4.75
	1.7	3.73	4.74
	1.72	3.83	4.47	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.8
	1.7	3.9	4.55	Watch
	1.71	3.9	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.92)	3.79 ↑ (3.42)	4.53 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vikingur Reykjavik
55.1%

Draw
24.5%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

26.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vikingur Reykjavik's performance.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vikingur Reykjavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	14.3%	9.5%

Vikingur Reykjavik - Egnatia Rrogozhinë Predictions

Users Predictions: Vikingur Reykjavik will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jonsson I. (G) 22. Gunnarsson K. 4. Ekroth O. 6. Vatnhamar G. 5. Fjoluson J. 27. Vilhjalmsson M. 10. Punyed P. 25. Ingimundarson V. 7. Agnarsson E. 23. Hansen N. (C) 19. Djuric D.	12. Dabjani I. (G) 19. Xhemajli A. 13. Malota R. (C) 4. Aliyev Z. 44. Fangaj A. 28. Ahmetaj A. 6. Aleksi A. 16. Ndreca E. 82. Kasa R. 27. Drame Y. 14. Doukouo L.
Substitutes
8. Andrason V. 80. Arinbjornsson P. (G) 3. Aronsson D. H. 24. Atlason D. 9. Gudjonsson H. 30. Jonsson D. 29. Magnusson H. 12. Sigurdsson H. 17. Sigurpalsson A. 11. Thordarson G. 2. Thorkelsson S. 21. Thrandarson A.	2. Duka A. 3. Dulysse F. 29. Gjata M. 1. Kuka K. (G) 23. Lubas J. 70. Lushkja R. 24. Rama R.
Coaches
Gunnlaugsson A.	Tetova E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Vilhjalmsson M. ↓, Thrandarson A. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Doukouo L. ⚽,
37', Aleksi A. 🟨,
39', Xhemajli A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Malota R. 🟨,
70', Drame Y. ↓, Lushkja R. ↑,
75', Ingimundarson V. ↓, Andrason V. ↑,
75', Punyed P. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
75', Djuric D. ↓, Gudjonsson H. ↑,
79', Aliyev Z. ↓, Lubas J. ↑,
82', Dabjani I. 🟨,
89', Lubas J. 🟨,
90+1', Kasa R. ↓, Dulysse F. ↑,
90+2', Doukouo L. ↓, Gjata M. ↑,
90+4', Andrason V. 🟨,
90+9', Agnarsson E. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Vikingur is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Egnatia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vikingur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vikingur is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.07.24	KA Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Shamrock Rovers - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
03.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	2:1 penalties ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
30.06.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Fram	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTWW
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
UEFA Champions League
17.07.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Borac Banja Luka	2:2 penalties ✺
10.07.24	Borac Banja Luka - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Budućnost Podgorica	1:2 ✺
28.06.24	Maribor - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2:2 ✺
19.06.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Ružomberok	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLTT

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