Match Info

ChNL - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium Viktoria Zizkov (Prague)

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)


	Viktoria Žižkov		Varnsdorf

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	3.1	3.3	2
	2.34	3.5	2.6
	2.31	3.68	2.54
	2.39	3.73	2.64	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	2.32	3.56	2.51	Watch
	2.34	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.38)	3.5 (3.5)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Žižkov
36.1%

Draw
26.2%

Varnsdorf
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.1%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Žižkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Žižkov than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Viktoria Žižkov - Varnsdorf Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varnsdorf (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Viktoria Žižkov (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Viktoria Žižkov (votes: 1 - 50%). Varnsdorf (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melichar M. (G) 18. Batioja A. 23. Broukal D. 24. Divisek J. 15. Honig M. 8. Jirasek M. (C) 9. Necid T. 14. Petrak A. 11. Petrzela M. 2. Richter M. 6. Tregler J.	33. Vanak M. (G) 7. Dufek L. 2. Hora J. 12. Karban K. 22. Kouril M. 21. Kubista M. (C) 5. Leitl M. 16. Lexa M. 4. Osaghae S. 18. Velich O. 6. Vlk M.
Substitutes
27. Ctvrtecka J. (G) 17. Fisl D. 10. Gembicky D. 26. Janovsky V. 4. Muleme I. 19. Rezac M. 20. Toula A. 7. Vanicek A. 5. Votava L. 33. Zaboj M.	10. Firbacher F. 1. Pesl L. (G) 23. Podzimek O. 19. Rudnytskyy P. 3. Suleiman A. 20. Zalesak R.
Coaches
Nikl M.	Papousek P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', Jirasek M. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Necid T. ⚽, Honig M. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Batioja A. ⚽, Broukal D. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Leitl M. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 1, Jirasek M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Osaghae S. ↓, Firbacher F. ↑,
46', Vlk M. ↓, Zalesak R. ↑,
48', Kouril M. 🟨,
50', 3 - 2, Zalesak R. (Pen),
63', Necid T. ↓, Toula A. ↑,
63', Petrzela M. ↓, Vanicek A. ↑,
72', 4 - 2, Batioja A. ⚽,
75', Hora J. ↓, Rudnytskyy P. ↑,
78', Honig M. ↓, Gembicky D. ↑,
79', Divisek J. ↓, Fisl D. ↑,
79', Dufek L. ↓, Podzimek O. ↑,
82', 5 - 2, Vanicek A. ⚽,
84', Zalesak R. 🟨,
88', Jirasek M. ↓, Rezac M. ↑,
90', 6 - 2, Toula A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Žižkov won 0.

Viktoria Žižkov is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Varnsdorf's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Varnsdorf will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Varnsdorf will win today's game, with odds of 2.1.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Žižkov won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Viktoria Žižkov won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoria Žižkov - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Žižkov
Czech Division 2
17.05.25	Vyškov - Viktoria Žižkov	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Sparta Prague B	0:1 ✺
07.05.25	Zbrojovka Brno - Viktoria Žižkov	4:1 ✺
04.05.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Chrudim	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Opava - Viktoria Žižkov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Varnsdorf
Czech Division 2
17.05.25	Varnsdorf - Slavia Prague B	3:0 ✺
11.05.25	Vlašim - Varnsdorf	1:1 ✺
07.05.25	Varnsdorf - Vysočina Jihlava	2:2 ✺
02.05.25	Zlín - Varnsdorf	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Varnsdorf - Prostějov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
21.07.24	Varnsdorf - Viktoria Žižkov	1:1
12.05.24	Viktoria Žižkov - Varnsdorf	1:1
29.10.23	Varnsdorf - Viktoria Žižkov	4:2
Club Friendly
06.07.22	Viktoria Žižkov - Varnsdorf	1:1
Czech Division 2
28.11.21	Viktoria Žižkov - Varnsdorf	0:2
01.08.21	Varnsdorf - Viktoria Žižkov	2:1
02.05.21	Viktoria Žižkov - Varnsdorf	1:0

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