Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Vila Mea (Vila Mea)


	Vila Meã		Cinfães

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.19	2.73
	3.83	1.53	5.84	Watch
	2.3	3.14	2.9
	1.9	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (1.9)	2.78 ↓ (3.25)	3.77 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Meã
38.1%

Draw
35.6%

Cinfães
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Meã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Meã's form might have worsened.

Cinfães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Meã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cinfães than the current prediction. (-3%)

Vila Meã - Cinfães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Vila Meã is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cinfães is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vila Meã may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vila Meã has had a series of away games.

Vila Meã might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Vila Meã will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Vila Meã
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Limianos - Vila Meã	0:4 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.09.25	Salgueiros 08 - Vila Meã	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Aparecida - Vila Meã	1:3 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.08.25	Vila Meã - Florgrade	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Beira-Mar - Vila Meã	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWTW
- Cinfães
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.09.25	Florgrade - Cinfães	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Cinfães - Marco 09	0:1 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.08.25	Cinfães - Leça	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Vila Real - Cinfães	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Cinfães - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL

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