Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 8

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Vila Meã		Paredes

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.59	3	2.18
	3.68	2.9	2.06
	3.4	2.9	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.86)	2.97 ↑ (2.83)	2.13 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Meã
26.7%

Draw
30.7%

Paredes
42.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.6%

31.9%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

32.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Meã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paredes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Meã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paredes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Vila Meã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paredes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Paredes have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Meã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Meã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.10.23	Marco 09 - Vila Meã	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Vila Meã - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.10.23	Vila Meã - Oliveira do Douro	1:3 ✺
01.10.23	Salgueiros 08 - Vila Meã	5:0 ✺
17.09.23	Vila Meã - Lamelas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- USC Paredes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.10.23	Paredes - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Paredes - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.10.23	Florgrade - Paredes	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Paredes - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Paredes - Florgrade	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 55.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.01.22	Paredes - Vila Meã	2:0
24.10.21	Vila Meã - Paredes	0:1

Vila Meã - Paredes

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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