Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal das Laranjeiras (Paredes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Paredes		São João de Ver

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.45	4.35
	1.72	3.66	4.98
	1.77	3.5	4.56	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.4
	1.65	3.44	4.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)	3.45 ↑ (3.32)	4.64 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
53.6%

Draw
26.6%

São João de Ver
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

29%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Paredes - São João de Ver Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matos F. (G) 2. Araujo P. 3. Duarte D. P. 6. Matheus Brito 23. Macedo Z. 21. Veiga D. 44. Ferreira P. 84. Yuk J. 7. Miguel 8. Carvalho D. 99. Balelo	65. Didi (G) 23. Monteiro J. 21. Rui Bruno 4. Morais B. 55. Vilela M. 33. Washington 29. Valente R. 6. Barbosa D. 11. Rai Nascimento 37. Firmino H. 17. Pereira N.
Substitutes
14. Erik 9. Fonseca R. 16. Goncalves T. (G) 20. Lemos I. M. 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 19. Pires J. 26. Santos Outeiro D. 10. Soares A. 29. Vasco Rocha	99. Benjamim R. (G) 27. Ca L. 20. Campas T. 10. Castro J. 7. Erick Gabriel 5. Jota 8. Juninho 9. Marques P. 3. Serrao J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Carvalho D. ↓, Erik ↑,
46', Macedo Z. ↓, Santos Outeiro D. ↑,
66', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
80', Yuk J. ↓, Lemos I. M. ↑,
83', Rai Nascimento ↓, Marques P. ↑,
84', 🟨,
85', Monteiro J. 🟨,
90+1', Miguel ↓, Vasco Rocha ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 1.

Paredes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

São João de Ver has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Paredes is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paredes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Paredes - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 51.97%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
12.04.26	Paredes - Braga B	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Fafe - Paredes	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	São João de Ver - Paredes	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Paredes - Fafe	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Braga B - Paredes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTL
- São João de Ver
Portuguese Liga 3
12.04.26	São João de Ver - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Braga B - São João de Ver	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	São João de Ver - Paredes	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Marco 09 - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.03.26	São João de Ver - Paredes	3:1
25.01.26	São João de Ver - Paredes	1:2
02.11.25	Paredes - São João de Ver	0:0
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	São João de Ver - Paredes	4:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.02.24	São João de Ver - Paredes	1:1
28.10.23	Paredes - São João de Ver	0:0
Portuguese Liga 3
04.03.23	São João de Ver - Paredes	1:1

Paredes - São João de Ver: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide