Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vila Real		Montalegre

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	3.12	3.05	2.39
	3.12	2.98	2.37
	2.97	3.06	2.28
	2.85	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.59)	3.04 ↓ (3.4)	2.34 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Real
30.8%

Draw
30.1%

Montalegre
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.6%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

25.9%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Real's performance.

Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montalegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Real that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montalegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Vila Real have a series of guest games.

Montalegre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vila Real won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Real won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.12.23	Brito - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Vila Real - Portosantense	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Marítimo B - Vila Real	1:2 ✺
01.11.23	Camacha - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Vila Real	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWLT
- CDC Montalegre
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.12.23	Montalegre - Ribeirão	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.11.23	Porto - Montalegre	4:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
12.11.23	Limianos - Montalegre	2:3 ✺
05.11.23	Montalegre - Tirsense	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	Montalegre - Pevidem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.19	Vila Real - Montalegre	0:0

Vila Real - Montalegre

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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