Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 9

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Vila Real		Paredes

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	1.98
	3.55	3.3	1.94
	3.83	3.13	1.98
	3.65	3.25	1.97	Watch
	3.62	3.28	1.93
	3.55	3.3	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.27)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	1.96 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Real
25.4%

Draw
28.1%

Paredes
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

27.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Real's form might have worsened.

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paredes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Real, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paredes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vila Real - Paredes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.11.24	Limianos - Vila Real	4:2 ✺
27.10.24	Vila Real - Dumiense	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Vila Real - Atlético dos Arcos	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.10.24	Atlético dos Arcos - Vila Real	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Vila Real - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWT
- USC Paredes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.11.24	Paredes - Joane	4:1 ✺
27.10.24	Bragança - Paredes	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	São João de Ver - Paredes	4:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
04.10.24	Paredes - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Rebordosa - Paredes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.02.22	Vila Real - Paredes	0:1
05.12.21	Paredes - Vila Real	2:0
14.03.21	Paredes - Vila Real	1:0
20.01.21	Vila Real - Paredes	2:1

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