Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Vila Real		Atlético dos Arcos

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.58	3.55	5.8
	1.35	3.64	5.87
	1.53	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)	3.6 ↓ (3.74)	5.92 ↓ (7.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Real
59.9%

Draw
24.9%

Atlético dos Arcos
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

24.3%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

23.1%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Atlético dos Arcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Real, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético dos Arcos than the current prediction. (-3%)

Vila Real - Atlético dos Arcos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Pacheco J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Vila Real is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Real won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.02.25	Tirsense - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Vila Real - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Vianense - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Brito - Vila Real	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Vila Real - Joane	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLW
- Atlético dos Arcos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.02.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Joane	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Bragança - Atlético dos Arcos	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Rebordosa - Atlético dos Arcos	3:0 ✺
11.01.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Os Sandinenses	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Vila Real - Atlético dos Arcos	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.10.24	Atlético dos Arcos - Vila Real	0:2

Vila Real - Atlético dos Arcos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide