Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 20

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Dumiense		Vila Real

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.05	2.25
	3.25	3.28	2.12
	3.25	3.1	2.14
	3.05	3.05	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.27)	3.12 ↑ (3)	2.19 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumiense
29%

Draw
29.3%

Vila Real
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

30.2%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dumiense's form might have worsened.

Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vila Real's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumiense than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dumiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vila Real, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dumiense - Vila Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Campos L. ⚽,
85', 🟥,
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Dumiense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vila Real is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dumiense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dumiense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Dumiense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumiense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
16.02.25	Joane - Dumiense	4:3 ✺
09.02.25	Dumiense - Bragança	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Dumiense	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Dumiense - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Os Sandinenses - Dumiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LWLWW
- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
16.02.25	Vila Real - Atlético dos Arcos	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Tirsense - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Vila Real - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Vianense - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Brito - Vila Real	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
27.10.24	Vila Real - Dumiense	3:1
04.02.24	Vila Real - Dumiense	0:0
01.10.23	Dumiense - Vila Real	2:1

Dumiense - Vila Real: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide