Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vila Real		Trofense

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.53
	5	3.45	1.55
	5.8	3.5	1.54
	5.86	3.74	1.59
	5.85	3.64	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 (5.6)	3.62 ↓ (3.82)	1.55 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Real
16.2%

Draw
25.1%

Trofense
58.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.3%

23.9%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

20.9%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Real, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Vila Real is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trofense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vila Real could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vila Real have a series of guest games.

Recently Trofense have a series of home games.

In this match Trofense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Real won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Real won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.02.21	Leça - Vila Real	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Vila Real - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Marítimo B - Vila Real	3:1 ✺
27.01.21	Salgueiros 08 - Vila Real	0:1 ✺
23.01.21	Gondomar - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LLLWT
- CD Trofense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.02.21	Trofense - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Trofense - Marítimo B	2:0 ✺
13.02.21	Trofense - Coimbrões	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Gondomar - Trofense	0:0 ✺
15.01.21	Trofense - Leça	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.12.20	Trofense - Vila Real	3:0
01.12.19	Vila Real - Trofense	1:3

Vila Real - Trofense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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