Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vilar de Perdizes		Camacha

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	2.95	3.25	2.2
	3.12	3.28	2.25
	3.12	3.28	2.24
	3.02	3.22	2.17
	2.95	3.25	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (4.29)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.21 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilar de Perdizes
30.5%

Draw
28.2%

Camacha
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.5%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

27.4%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilar de Perdizes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilar de Perdizes's performance.

Camacha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camacha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilar de Perdizes than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilar de Perdizes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camacha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Vilar de Perdizes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Camacha is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Camacha have a series of home games.

Camacha will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Vilar de Perdizes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.12.23	Pevidem - Vilar de Perdizes	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Mirandela - Vilar de Perdizes	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Dumiense	0:0 ✺
01.11.23	Os Sandinenses - Vilar de Perdizes	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Vila Real	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTTTT
- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.12.23	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.11.23	Camacha - Famalicão	0:5 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
12.11.23	Dumiense - Camacha	0:5 ✺
05.11.23	Camacha - Os Sandinenses	4:1 ✺
01.11.23	Camacha - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW

Vilar de Perdizes - Camacha

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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