Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Vilassar de Mar		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.15	1.92
	3.74	3.11	2.02
	4.04	3.33	1.86	Watch
	3.5	3	2
	3.87	3.45	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	1.94 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilassar de Mar
24.4%

Draw
28.5%

Cornellà
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

27.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

26.6%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilassar de Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Vilassar de Mar - Cornellà Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Vilassar de Mar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cornellà has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cornellà might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vilassar de Mar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cornella	8	2	4	2	12:10	2	10
17	Vilassar de Mar	8	2	2	4	11:17	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
08.03.26	Badalona - Vilassar de Mar	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Vilassar de Mar - Montañesa	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vilassar de Mar - Peralada	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Vic - Vilassar de Mar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLTT
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
08.03.26	Cornellà - Mollerussa	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	San Cristóbal - Cornellà	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Can Vidalet - Cornellà	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Cornellà - Badalona	2:4 ✺
08.02.26	Montañesa - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
01.11.25	Cornellà - Vilassar de Mar	1:0

Vilassar de Mar - Cornellà