Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 13

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Vilassar de Mar		Rapitenca

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.96	3.12	3.56
	1.96	3.12	3.56
	1.96	3.14	3.66
	2	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.61)	3.15 ↓ (3.58)	3.55 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilassar de Mar
45.9%

Draw
28.7%

Rapitenca
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.3%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

22.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilassar de Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilassar de Mar's form might have worsened.

Rapitenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rapitenca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapitenca than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Vilassar de Mar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rapitenca is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vilassar de Mar is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vilassar de Mar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilassar de Mar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Vilassar de Mar	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Vilassar de Mar - Prat	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Peralada - Vilassar de Mar	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Vilassar de Mar - Olot	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLTL
- UE Rapitenca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Prat - Rapitenca	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Rapitenca - Olot	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Mollerussa - Rapitenca	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Rapitenca - LHospitalet	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Castelldefels - Rapitenca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.02.23	Rapitenca - Vilassar de Mar	4:1
15.10.22	Vilassar de Mar - Rapitenca	1:1

Vilassar de Mar - Rapitenca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide