Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 7

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Vilassar de Mar		Reus FC Reddis

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.15	2.33
	3	2.9	2.27
	3.01	3.06	2.33	Watch
	3	3.08	2.27
	2.8	3.15	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.93)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilassar de Mar
31.3%

Draw
29.5%

Reus FC Reddis
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

29.1%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilassar de Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Reus FC Reddis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reus FC Reddis than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Vilassar de Mar - Reus FC Reddis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Orellana Fran ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Folch R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
85', 1 - 2, Folch R. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Serrano A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Reus FCR could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vilassar de Mar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Vilassar de Mar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Sabadell B - Vilassar de Mar	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Vilassar de Mar - San Cristóbal	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Vilassar de Mar - Grama	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Prat - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Vilassar de Mar - Manresa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLL
- Reus FC Reddis
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Reus FC Reddis - CE Europa B	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Reus FC Reddis - Peralada	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Mollerussa - Reus FC Reddis	2:3 ✺
15.09.24	Reus FC Reddis - LHospitalet	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	LEscala - Reus FC Reddis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
01.05.24	Reus FC Reddis - Vilassar de Mar	1:0
07.01.24	Vilassar de Mar - Reus FC Reddis	2:1

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